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PostPosted: Mon Oct 21, 2019 3:21 pm 
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Knappos wrote:
I was thinking about that today. IT was sure to get a good opening, but the repeat business which would give it a good run depended on a film which people wanted to see again - which I don't think is what they got (I've only used my unlimited card for one viewing).

Joker might be getting more repeat business, but at the same time might be benefiting from word of mouth, awards talk (and win) and all the viral marketing provided by the moral panic over the film.

Joker's 7th now and around $40M clear of IT (so, i was embarrassingly wrong above).

Jumanji 3 has 19 days in the 2019 box office and Jumanji 2 managed to pull in $235M in 19 days. Both went up against Star Wars. So, maybe IT is destined for a finish outside of the top ten after all, with Jumanji in 10th - unless something else performs well enough to take that space.


"Frozen 2" is probably the next big film and that'll push "Hobbs & Shaw" out. "Star Wars" should end up with a place in the 10, which is going to push out "Us"'s $175M. Which means #10 is going to be occupied by "It: Chapter 2". So "Jumanji 3" is going to need to take more than $210M to push "It" out of the 10 completely

Jumanji could do well Christmas week, we'll have a 6 week old "Frozen 2" , "Jumanji" and (just released) "Spies in Disguise" (& "Cats" ?) competing for the family dollar. A lot may just go for "Jumanji" just because it's the only option


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PostPosted: Tue Oct 22, 2019 11:54 am 
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Cats looks awful. So there are bound to be plenty of folks who love it and go for it. Both me and my nipper liked the trailer for Spies in Disguise (and he loves anything 'spy' at the moment).

I think Jumanji will do very well the week it has ahead of Star Wars and then we'll really see how Star Wars has been impacted by The Last Jedi and Solo (hype + critical v audience reaction and backstage drama overshadowing hype & mismanaged promotional campaign x released so soon after TLJ backlash, respectively). I doubted TLJ would get first place two years ago and it did it. Can't see Rise beating Endgame but it might still have enough to get into the top 4.


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PostPosted: Sun Nov 24, 2019 7:01 pm 
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$127m opening for Frozen II.


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PostPosted: Wed Nov 27, 2019 3:47 pm 
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https://variety.com/2019/film/box-offic ... 203417884/

Star Wars tracking for $200m opening.


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PostPosted: Sun Dec 01, 2019 9:38 pm 
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With one month to go:

Knappos: 54
Kang: 49
Dave: 41
Talon: 41


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PostPosted: Fri Dec 06, 2019 3:45 pm 
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<gets suddenly competitive>
<quickly rechecks predictions>
<checks Jumanji 3's current projected opening weekend>
<swears to self under breath>

Oh well, I will enjoy the view while it lasts.


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PostPosted: Fri Dec 06, 2019 7:14 pm 
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Knappos wrote:
<gets suddenly competitive>
<quickly rechecks predictions>
<checks Jumanji 3's current projected opening weekend>
<swears to self under breath>

Oh well, I will enjoy the view while it lasts.


You have another two weeks to dream.


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PostPosted: Mon Dec 16, 2019 12:07 am 
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With two weeks to go:

Knappos 59
Kang 49
Dave 43
Talon 43


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PostPosted: Fri Dec 20, 2019 9:34 pm 
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$195m estimated opening weekend for Rise of Skywalker

https://variety.com/2019/film/news/box- ... 203450085/


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PostPosted: Sun Dec 22, 2019 5:08 pm 
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It's as you were as Star Wars enters the charts at number 10 with 'only' $175m. Frozen hasn't quite overtaken Spider-Man yet and remains in 6th. It's an Achilles and the Tortoise situation now with Star Wars looking to leg it up the charts with an effective 7 day weekend to come but potentially running out of days.

Knappos 62
Kang 52
Dave 46
Talon 46


Last edited by Kang the Conqueror on Tue Dec 24, 2019 11:30 am, edited 1 time in total.

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PostPosted: Tue Dec 24, 2019 3:55 am 
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C'mon Star Wars, Papa needs a win!

:madboogie:

Interesting how Dave and I are on the same score when our lists are so different. Be interesting to see the final result.


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PostPosted: Tue Dec 24, 2019 9:04 pm 
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TALON wrote:
C'mon Star Wars, Papa needs a win!

:madboogie:

Interesting how Dave and I are on the same score when our lists are so different. Be interesting to see the final result.


Split now Frozen has moved up to 5th:

Knappos 61
Kang 56
Talon 50
Dave 48


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PostPosted: Wed Dec 25, 2019 4:46 pm 
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Star Wars up to 9th causing a nine point swing:

Kang 62
Knappos 58
Talon 50
Dave 48


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PostPosted: Sun Dec 29, 2019 5:58 pm 
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Star Wars moves up into 7th. Frozen chasing down Captain Marvel and should go into 4th.

Kang 64
Knappos 58
Dave 52
Talon 50


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PostPosted: Wed Jan 01, 2020 5:06 pm 
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On the last day of the year Frozen moved into fourth and Star Wars overtook Spider-Man to move into sixth (by only $70,000) leaving the final scores as follows:

3rd= Talon & Dave 58
2nd Knappos 64
1st Kang 72


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PostPosted: Thu Jan 02, 2020 12:31 am 
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Man! That got crazy in the last few days.

:hitthetable:

Congrats Kang.

:thumbs: :applaud:

So what was the final top 10 in the end?


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PostPosted: Thu Jan 02, 2020 10:00 am 
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TALON wrote:
Man! That got crazy in the last few days.

:hitthetable:

Congrats Kang.

:thumbs: :applaud:

So what was the final top 10 in the end?


There's a good chance it would have switched back again if the year had been a couple of days longer.

The final top ten was:

1 Avengers: Endgame
2 Lion King
3 Toy Story 4
4 Frozen II
5 Captain Marvel
6 Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
7 Spider-Man: Far From Home
8 Aladdin
9 Joker
10 It Chapter Two


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PostPosted: Thu Jan 02, 2020 12:17 pm 
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Kang the Conqueror wrote:
1 Avengers: Endgame
2 Lion King
3 Toy Story 4
4 Frozen II
5 Captain Marvel
6 Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
7 Spider-Man: Far From Home
8 Aladdin
9 Joker
10 It Chapter Two


am I wrong in thinking that ... i

1 Disney
2 Disney
3 Disney
4 Disney
5 Disney
6 Disney
7 Disney
8 Disney
9 Not Disney
10 Also Not Disney

That is very impressive

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PostPosted: Thu Jan 02, 2020 5:19 pm 
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Mr Cairo wrote:
Kang the Conqueror wrote:
1 Avengers: Endgame
2 Lion King
3 Toy Story 4
4 Frozen II
5 Captain Marvel
6 Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
7 Spider-Man: Far From Home
8 Aladdin
9 Joker
10 It Chapter Two


am I wrong in thinking that ... i

1 Disney
2 Disney
3 Disney
4 Disney
5 Disney
6 Disney
7 Disney
8 Disney
9 Not Disney
10 Also Not Disney

That is very impressive


7 is only Disney adjacent. It's actually Sony. Won't be the same this year. You should join in!


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PostPosted: Fri Jan 03, 2020 2:41 am 
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Well there is Disney involvement as isn't Feige an executive producer on that or something? So while not directly Disney they do have some influence on that production.


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PostPosted: Fri Jan 03, 2020 8:51 am 
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Kang the Conqueror wrote:
7 is only Disney adjacent. It's actually Sony. Won't be the same this year. You should join in!


Disney adjacent is good enough for me as it would not have been there at all if it was SONY only, Also Why will it not be the same this year ?

Kang the Conqueror wrote:
You should join in!


I will try and give it a go this year ... have a few films I think may do well at the box office already in mind

TALON wrote:
Well there is Disney involvement as isn't Feige an executive producer on that or something? So while not directly Disney they do have some influence on that production.


Agreed, but to be fair even if it was just SONY thats still a massive WIN for Disney

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PostPosted: Fri Jan 03, 2020 11:17 am 
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TALON wrote:
Well there is Disney involvement as isn't Feige an executive producer on that or something? So while not directly Disney they do have some influence on that production.


But Disney don't put up any money so you can't really call it a Disney film. They will next time so that will be more of a co-production.


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PostPosted: Fri Jan 03, 2020 11:21 am 
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Mr Cairo wrote:
Why will it not be the same this year ?


Disney pulled films forward for the launch of Disney+ so their schedule this year looks a little light. Only two MCU films and no Star Wars. I don't think I am spoiling things to suggest they might not have the number one film this year.

Will probably set a deadline for the end of January for entries because the first biggie isn't until February. At the moment I am resting and watching the sun rise on a grateful universe.


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PostPosted: Fri Jan 03, 2020 12:34 pm 
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Kang the Conqueror wrote:
TALON wrote:
Well there is Disney involvement as isn't Feige an executive producer on that or something? So while not directly Disney they do have some influence on that production.


But Disney don't put up any money so you can't really call it a Disney film. They will next time so that will be more of a co-production.


But Disney own Marvel so its surely its still a Disney film

Kang the Conqueror wrote:
Mr Cairo wrote:
Why will it not be the same this year ?


Disney pulled films forward for the launch of Disney+ so their schedule this year looks a little light. Only two MCU films and no Star Wars. I don't think I am spoiling things to suggest they might not have the number one film this year.



Yeah the Marvel output this year does not really set me on fire, Black Widow will do well and i am really not sold on the Eternals

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PostPosted: Fri Jan 03, 2020 1:59 pm 
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Mr Cairo wrote:
But Disney own Marvel so its surely its still a Disney film


The distinctions between Disney/Marvel/Marvel Studios/MCU is the very small hill on which I am prepared to die. They aren't perfectly nesting dolls. Far From Home can be described as a Marvel film, a Marvel Studios film and an MCU film but for me a Disney film is a film that Disney distributes and this film was distributed (and co-produced) by Sony.


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PostPosted: Fri Jan 03, 2020 7:44 pm 
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Just seen a potential biggie in January so will put something up sooner rather than later.


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PostPosted: Sat Jan 04, 2020 5:18 pm 
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Bah, I remember looking back a number of years the first time I played this and I can't remember a January film which ever went into the top ten


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PostPosted: Sun Jan 05, 2020 4:57 pm 
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Knappos wrote:
Bah, I remember looking back a number of years the first time I played this and I can't remember a January film which ever went into the top ten


Superhero films cast such a long shadow these days, from Valentine's Day to Boxing Day, that the other blockbusters are having to think outside the box to bag themselves a bit of room to breathe and a guaranteed No 1 at the box office. You'll see which film I mean when I set the deadline today.


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